US Debt Ceiling Endgame
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In this video, I discuss the US debt ceiling debate in the context of US unfunded liabilities and foreign buyers' decreasing interest in owning US debt.
Ultimately, all US unfunded liabilities will need to be funded by US Treasury debt issuance, and that debt will be purchased by the Fed, ballooning the Fed's balance sheet to $100 trillion and beyond.
There is no other way out, now that total US government debt has grown so far beyond the size of the US economy which is meant to service that debt. Fiat devaluation and money printing is the path that will be taken.
US debt has no ultimate ceiling, just as fiat money has no floor. The US government and Fed will ultimately print to infinity as they try to remain afloat.
Debates about debt ceilings are pure political theater that is meant to distract voters from these fundamental structural issues.
Not investment advice! Consult a financial advisor.
What Is Bitcoin's Ultimate Price Target?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ugK2waqCqM&ab_channel=TraderUniversity
US debt ceiling crisis:
https://www.brookings.edu/2023/01/25/how-worried-should-we-be-if-the-debt-ceiling-isnt-lifted/
US total public debt:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN
Yellen warns of debt ceiling "catastrophe" for U.S. and beyond:
https://www.axios.com/2023/01/28/yellen-debt-ceiling-nervous-default-recession
US debt clock:
https://www.usdebtclock.org
Social Security cost of living adjustments (COLA):
https://www.ssa.gov/oact/cola/latestCOLA.html
Major foreign holders of US Treasuries:
https://ticdata.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/tic/Documents/mfh.txt
Watch the Fed's balance sheet grow:
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WALCL
1996 debt ceiling crisis:
https://www.nytimes.com/1996/01/28/us/congress-must-raise-debt-limit-to-avoid-default-clinton-says.html
2011 debt ceiling crisis:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_United_States_debt-ceiling_crisis
2013 debt ceiling crisis:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_United_States_debt-ceiling_crisis
2023 debt ceiling crisis:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_United_States_debt-ceiling_crisis
I am not being paid or otherwise compensated by any company or cryptocurrency project that I mention in my videos.
My opinion is not for sale. Please do not contact me with any affiliate or advertising deals.
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