Best WNBA Player Props Today: Loyd Does Damage From Long Range
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Sky High
Chicago is out to avenge a loss in D.C. last weekend, wrapping up a home-and-home set with Washington tonight.
The Mystics are missing bodies on the bench and starting guard Natasha Cloud is playing through an illness that had her listed as questionable earlier in the day. That potentially slows one of Washington's best backcourt defenders, taking on a Chicago team that thrives on its own floor.
The Sky average 14 more points per game inside the Wintrust Arena backed by the league’s second-highest home offensive rating. A big part of that production is Marina Mabrey.
The 5-foot-11...
Sky High
Chicago is out to avenge a loss in D.C. last weekend, wrapping up a home-and-home set with Washington tonight.
The Mystics are missing bodies on the bench and starting guard Natasha Cloud is playing through an illness that had her listed as questionable earlier in the day. That potentially slows one of Washington's best backcourt defenders, taking on a Chicago team that thrives on its own floor.
The Sky average 14 more points per game inside the Wintrust Arena backed by the league’s second-highest home offensive rating. A big part of that production is Marina Mabrey.
The 5-foot-11 guard is having a breakout year after being traded to the Sky this offseason, averaging 17.5 points and enjoying a stellar month of June in which she’s put forth efforts of 20, 28, and 36 points for Chicago.
Her player projections for Thursday range from 15.5 to 16.8 to as high as 19.1 against a scoring prop market that sits between 16.5 (Over -135) and 17.5 (Over -115). And with Cloud possibly slowed and leaving a gap in the Mystics’ defense along with Chicago’s home-court cooking, the ceiling could be even higher for Mabrey.
She sees her production spike to 24.2 points per home game, shooting almost 52% from the floor as well as 45.5% from beyond the arc (versus 11.8 ppg, 34% FG, 26% 3PT on the road).
Mabrey scored just 11 points at Washington last Sunday, finishing 5-for-13 from the field, including an ice-cold 1-for-7 count from beyond the arc. She did, however, post 19 points in just 26 minutes in a home stand with the Mystics last month.
She’s logging 30-plus minutes per game now as a vital part of this rotation and is primed for another strong showing in front of the ChiTown faithful tonight. Marina Mabrey Total Points: Over 16.5 (-135 at DraftKings) Cats on the glass
The Lynx are among the better rebounding teams in the WNBA, ranked No. 2 in rebound rate and limiting opponents to a league-low 33.1 average rebounds per outing.
That status has sputtered a bit with the Lynx’s leading rebounder Jessica Shepard sidelined due to an illness, leaving the bulk of boards to Napheesa Collier.
The 6-foot-1 forward averages 7.5 rebounds on the season but has increased that to nine boards a night in Shepard’s absence. That includes a 14-rebound effort in the win at L.A. on Tuesday.
With Minnesota hosting Connecticut tonight, Collier has a rebound prop of 7.5 boards with the Over a pricy -140.
Her projections call for more than nine rebounds, and given Shepard is still out and the Sun will be without 6-foot-3 forward Brionna Jones (8.2 rebounds per game), Collier will have a much bigger night on the boards than the last time she played Connecticut. She recorded just two rebounds in a road loss on June 1, while Shepard finished with a dozen boards in that game.
Over 7.5 rebounds is out there as big as -146, so there could be a move to 8.5 with the Over coming back at plus-money closer to tipoff. As of Thursday afternoon, the cheapest vig is -140. Napheesa Collier Total Rebounds: Over 7.5 (-140 at bet365) Feels like rain
As Jewell Loyd goes, so do the Storm.
The best shooting guard in the WNBA enters Thursday’s home date with the Fever leading the league in scoring with more than 26 points per game. A good chunk of that production comes from beyond the arc, with Loyd knocking down 3.6 triples per outing.
Player modeling for Lo...
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