Stocks To Surge & Bonds To Sell Off Before Recession Hits By Early 2024 | Darius Dale
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While the Fed has succeeded in bringing inflation as measured by headline CPI down from 9% to under 4%, it hasn't won the battle yet.
In fact, CPI has been rising over the past several months.
Today's expert cautions that we're likely to see an unwelcome transition from what he calls "immaculate disinflation" to "sticky inflation", which could serve as the death nail for the current bull run in the markets.
Why?
Well, let's ask him. We're fortunate to have market analyst Darius Dale return to the program.
Follow Darius at his website at https://42macro.com/
Or on Twitter at @DariusDale42
TIMESTAMPS
0:00 Global economy and financial markets.
2:33 Inflation and recession in the US economy.
8:32 Inflation, wage inflation, and recession.
14:16 Labor market dynamics and inflation.
18:14 Recession probability based on yield curve inversion.
22:32 US economy's resilience and potential recession in 2024.
30:38 Economic indicators and recession probability.
37:07 Investment strategies and risk management in changing market conditions.
42:50 Investing in a complex market with conflicting signals.
46:19 Macroeconomic challenges and investment strategies.
50:15 US Treasury market dynamics and potential financial repression.
53:26 Inflation, yield curve control, and portfolio construction.
58:57 Inflation, interest rates, and bond market performance.
1:07:36 Economic outlook, dollar devaluation, and asset allocation.
1:13:00 Currency market trends and recession risks.
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Let us help you prepare your portfolio just in case the future brings one or more of the following: inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a stock market crash, a real estate bubble, a real estate crash, an economic boom, a recession, a depression, or another global financial crisis.
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#stickyinflation #disinflation #recession2024
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